Kraké v Dragons prediction · Championnat National

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30

Kraké 2–0 Dragons KRAKÉ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kraké win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.452

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kraké are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kraké 45%, draw 29%, Dragons 26%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Kraké v DragonsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kraké win45%

Draw29%

Dragons win26%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kraké

Dragons

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Kraké	3	−4	3
17	Dragons	3	−3	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kraké winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Kraké a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kraké v Dragons~~1.32 – 0.94

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W0 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~15 v 17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kraké win	45%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Dragons win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Kraké or draw	74%	–	–
Kraké clean sheet	40%	–	–
Dragons clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%

0123450 11.1 9.6 4.6 1 13.6 13.0 5.9 2 9.1 8.3 3.9 3 4.0 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kraké down, Dragons across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,755 Championnat National matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.6% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kraké at home: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Dragons away: 0.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Kraké, 0.94 for Dragons. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~KRA 2–1 DRA · DRA 2–0 KRA · KRA 0–1 DRA · DRA 2–2 KRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

KRAKÉ

LWL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–4

DRAGONS

DLL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cavaliers	4	+10	10
2	Buffles	4	+5	10
3	ASPAC	4	+3	9
4	Bani Gansè	3	+3	7
5	Panthères	3	+2	6
6	AS Cotonou	3	0	6
7	Djeffa	4	−1	6
8	ASVO	4	−1	6
9	Hodio	4	+2	5
10	Damissa	4	+1	5
11	Coton Sport Ouidah	4	−2	4
12	AS Sobemap	3	0	3
13	Ayema	3	−2	3
14	Loto Popo	3	−3	3
15	Kraké	3	−4	3
16	Espoir Savalou	4	−3	2
17	Dragons	3	−3	1
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0