Hodio v Damissa prediction · Championnat National

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Hodio 1–1 Damissa HODIO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hodio win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.735

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hodio win44%

Draw31%

Damissa win26%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hodio

Damissa

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Hodio	2	+3	4
15	Damissa	2	−1	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hodio winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Hodio a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hodio win	44%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Damissa win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	32%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	59%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	14%	–	–
Hodio or draw	74%	–	–
Hodio clean sheet	44%	–	–
Damissa clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%

0123450 14.3 11.1 4.6 1 15.8 13.1 5.3 2 9.3 7.5 3.1 3 3.7 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hodio down, Damissa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,746 Championnat National matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hodio at home: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Damissa away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Hodio, 0.82 for Damissa. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~HOD 3–3 DAM · DAM 2–1 HOD · DAM 2–0 HOD · HOD 2–1 DAM

Form · last six in Championnat National

HODIO

WLLDWD2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 1–1

DAMISSA

DLLWDL2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cavaliers	3	+8	7
2	Bani Gansè	3	+3	7
3	Buffles	2	+4	6
4	ASPAC	3	+2	6
5	Panthères	3	+2	6
6	ASVO	3	+1	6
7	AS Cotonou	3	0	6
8	Hodio	2	+3	4
9	Djeffa	2	−1	3
10	Ayema	3	−2	3
11	Loto Popo	3	−3	3
12	Kraké	3	−4	3
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
14	Coton Sport Ouidah	2	−1	1
15	Damissa	2	−1	1
16	Dragons	3	−3	1
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0
18	Dynamo Abomey	2	−5	0