Espoir Savalou v AS Sobemap prediction · Championnat National

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 01:30

Espoir Savalou 0–0 AS Sobemap ESPOIR SAVALOU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Espoir Savalou win~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.665

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Espoir Savalou win36%

Draw34%

AS Sobemap win30%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Espoir Savalou

AS Sobemap

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · espoir savalou winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Espoir Savalou a 36% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Espoir Savalou win	36%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
AS Sobemap win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Espoir Savalou or draw	70%	–	–
Espoir Savalou clean sheet	44%	–	–
AS Sobemap clean sheet	39%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.4%

0123450 17.4 13.8 5.8 1 15.8 13.3 5.4 2 7.6 6.2 2.6 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Espoir Savalou down, AS Sobemap across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,746 Championnat National matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Espoir Savalou at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). AS Sobemap away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.95 goals for Espoir Savalou, 0.83 for AS Sobemap. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ESP 3–1 ASS · ASS 5–1 ESP · ESP 1–1 ASS · ASS 1–1 ESP

Form · last six in Championnat National

ESPOIR SAVALOU

WDWDLL3–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–2

AS SOBEMAP

WWWLDD1–0 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cavaliers	3	+8	7
2	Bani Gansè	3	+3	7
3	Buffles	2	+4	6
4	ASPAC	3	+2	6
5	Panthères	3	+2	6
6	ASVO	3	+1	6
7	AS Cotonou	3	0	6
8	Hodio	2	+3	4
9	Djeffa	2	−1	3
10	Ayema	3	−2	3
11	Loto Popo	3	−3	3
12	Kraké	3	−4	3
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
14	Coton Sport Ouidah	2	−1	1
15	Damissa	2	−1	1
16	Dragons	3	−3	1
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0
18	Dynamo Abomey	2	−5	0