Dynamo Abomey v Buffles prediction · Championnat National

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dynamo AbomeyDrawBuffles

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Draw 35%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A draw is the likeliest result.

The Pitchside prediction: Dynamo Abomey 33%, draw 35%, Buffles 32%. Over 2.5 goals 24%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Dynamo Abomey v BufflesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Dynamo Abomey win33%

Draw35%

Buffles win32%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dynamo Abomey

Buffles

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Buffles	4	+5	10
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

35% The market–

Us35%

We make the draw a 35% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dynamo Abomey v Buffles~~0.85 – 0.83

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D0 L4 · W3 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 10~~18 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dynamo Abomey win	33%	–	–
Draw	35%	–	–
Buffles win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	24%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	50%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	9%	–	–
Dynamo Abomey or draw	68%	–	–
Dynamo Abomey clean sheet	44%	–	–
Buffles clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 19.3%

0123450 19.3 15.0 6.4 1 15.4 13.3 5.4 2 6.7 5.5 2.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dynamo Abomey down, Buffles across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,764 Championnat National matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.1% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dynamo Abomey at home: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Buffles away: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.85 goals for Dynamo Abomey, 0.83 for Buffles. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BUF 3–1 DYN · DYN 0–0 BUF · BUF 0–0 DYN · DYN 1–1 BUF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

DYNAMO ABOMEY

LLLL1–2 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 1–2

BUFFLES

WWWD3–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bani Gansè	5	+6	11
2	Cavaliers	5	+8	10
3	Buffles	4	+5	10
4	ASPAC	5	+3	10
5	Panthères	5	+2	8
6	AS Sobemap	5	+2	7
7	AS Cotonou	4	0	7
8	Hodio	5	+2	6
9	Djeffa	4	−1	6
10	ASVO	4	−1	6
11	Kraké	4	−2	6
12	Damissa	4	+1	5
13	Ayema	5	−2	5
14	Loto Popo	5	−3	5
15	Coton Sport Ouidah	4	−2	4
16	Dragons	5	−5	2
17	Espoir Savalou	5	−6	2
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0