Damissa v ASVO prediction · Championnat National

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Damissa 2–0 ASVO DAMISSA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Damissa win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.528

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Damissa are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Damissa 41%, draw 33%, ASVO 26%. Over 2.5 goals 27%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Damissa v ASVOBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Damissa win41%

Draw33%

ASVO win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Damissa

ASVO

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

Last match: 10 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	ASVO	3	+1	6
15	Damissa	3	−1	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · damissa winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Damissa a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Damissa v ASVO~~1.04 – 0.77

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W0 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 2 v 6~~15 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Damissa win	41%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
ASVO win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	27%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	54%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Damissa or draw	74%	–	–
Damissa clean sheet	47%	–	–
ASVO clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.9%

0123450 16.9 12.4 4.9 1 16.7 13.1 5.0 2 8.8 6.7 2.6 3 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Damissa down, ASVO across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,750 Championnat National matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Damissa at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). ASVO away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.04 goals for Damissa, 0.77 for ASVO. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ASV 2–0 DAM · DAM 1–1 ASV · ASV 1–0 DAM · DAM 1–0 ASV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

DAMISSA

DLD0–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

ASVO

WLW1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Buffles	3	+5	9
2	Cavaliers	3	+8	7
3	Bani Gansè	3	+3	7
4	ASPAC	3	+2	6
5	Panthères	3	+2	6
6	ASVO	3	+1	6
7	AS Cotonou	3	0	6
8	Hodio	3	+3	5
9	Coton Sport Ouidah	3	0	4
10	AS Sobemap	3	0	3
11	Ayema	3	−2	3
12	Djeffa	3	−2	3
13	Loto Popo	3	−3	3
14	Kraké	3	−4	3
15	Damissa	3	−1	2
16	Dragons	3	−3	1
17	Espoir Savalou	3	−3	1
18	Dynamo Abomey	3	−6	0