Coton Sport Ouidah v Cavaliers prediction · Championnat National

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Coton Sport Ouidah 1–3 Cavaliers COTON SPORT OUIDAH WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Coton Sport Ouidah win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.986

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Coton Sport Ouidah are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Coton Sport Ouidah 51%, draw 29%, Cavaliers 20%. Over 2.5 goals 33%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Coton Sport Ouidah v CavaliersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Coton Sport Ouidah win51%

Draw29%

Cavaliers win20%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Coton Sport Ouidah

Cavaliers

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

Last match: 10 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Cavaliers	3	+8	7
9	Coton Sport Ouidah	3	0	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · coton sport ouidah winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:00 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Coton Sport Ouidah a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Coton Sport Ouidah v Cavaliers~~1.32 – 0.71

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D1 L1 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 7~~9 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Coton Sport Ouidah win

Published at 50%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Coton Sport Ouidah win	51%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Cavaliers win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	33%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	60%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	15%	–	–
Coton Sport Ouidah or draw	80%	–	–
Coton Sport Ouidah clean sheet	50%	–	–
Cavaliers clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.0%

0123450 13.6 9.1 3.3 1 17.0 12.3 4.3 2 11.4 7.9 2.8 3 5.1 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Coton Sport Ouidah down, Cavaliers across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,750 Championnat National matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 31.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.11 goals a meeting; 3 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Coton Sport Ouidah at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Cavaliers away: 2.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Coton Sport Ouidah, 0.71 for Cavaliers. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.11

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 9

~~Both scored~~4 of 9

~~Last meetings~~CAV 0–2 COT · COT 2–1 CAV · CAV 0–1 COT · COT 3–1 CAV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

COTON SPORT OUIDAH

DLW1–1 · 0–1 · 3–2

CAVALIERS

DWW0–0 · 4–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Buffles	3	+5	9
2	Cavaliers	3	+8	7
3	Bani Gansè	3	+3	7
4	ASPAC	3	+2	6
5	Panthères	3	+2	6
6	ASVO	3	+1	6
7	AS Cotonou	3	0	6
8	Hodio	3	+3	5
9	Coton Sport Ouidah	3	0	4
10	AS Sobemap	3	0	3
11	Ayema	3	−2	3
12	Djeffa	3	−2	3
13	Loto Popo	3	−3	3
14	Kraké	3	−4	3
15	Damissa	3	−1	2
16	Dragons	3	−3	1
17	Espoir Savalou	3	−3	1
18	Dynamo Abomey	3	−6	0