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Bani Gansè v Loto Popo

Bani Gansè

3–1Full time

Loto Popo

Championnat National · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Bani Gansè 3–1 Loto Popo BANI GANSÈ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bani Gansè win~~34%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.652

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Bani Gansè win34%

Draw34%

Loto Popo win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bani gansè winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

34% The market–

Us34%

We make Bani Gansè a 34% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bani Gansè win	34%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
Loto Popo win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
Bani Gansè or draw	68%	–	–
Bani Gansè clean sheet	42%	–	–
Loto Popo clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.7%

0123450 17.7 14.5 6.4 1 15.1 13.3 5.6 2 6.9 5.9 2.5 3 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bani Gansè down, Loto Popo across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,741 Championnat National matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bani Gansè at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Loto Popo away: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for Bani Gansè, 0.86 for Loto Popo. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~4 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAN 2–0 LOT · LOT 3–2 BAN · LOT 1–0 BAN · BAN 0–1 LOT

Form · last six in Championnat National

BANI GANSÈ

LLDWDW0–1 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

LOTO POPO

LDWDWL0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Buffles	2	+4	6
2	ASPAC	2	+3	6
3	Cavaliers	2	+4	4
4	Hodio	2	+3	4
5	Bani Gansè	2	+1	4
6	Panthères	2	+1	3
7	Kraké	2	0	3
8	ASVO	2	0	3
9	AS Cotonou	2	−1	3
10	Ayema	2	−1	3
11	Djeffa	2	−1	3
12	Loto Popo	2	−1	3
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
14	Coton Sport Ouidah	2	−1	1
15	Damissa	2	−1	1
16	Dragons	2	−2	1
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0
18	Dynamo Abomey	2	−5	0