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Bani Gansè v Espoir Savalou

Bani Gansè

16:00Result not confirmed

Espoir Savalou

Championnat National · SAT 24 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bani GansèDrawEspoir Savalou

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bani Gansè 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bani Gansè are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bani Gansè 43%, draw 32%, Espoir Savalou 24%. Over 2.5 goals 28%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Bani Gansè v Espoir SavalouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Bani Gansè win43%

Draw32%

Espoir Savalou win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bani Gansè

Espoir Savalou

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

Last match: 17 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Bani Gansè	4	+3	8
16	Espoir Savalou	4	−3	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bani gansè winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Bani Gansè a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bani Gansè v Espoir Savalou~~1.10 – 0.75

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D2 L0 · W0 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 2~~4 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bani Gansè win	43%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Espoir Savalou win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	28%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
Bani Gansè or draw	76%	–	–
Bani Gansè clean sheet	48%	–	–
Espoir Savalou clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.9%

0123450 16.3 11.4 4.4 1 16.9 13.0 4.8 2 9.5 7.0 2.6 3 3.6 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bani Gansè down, Espoir Savalou across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,759 Championnat National matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.1% of games this season, across 36 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.12 goals a meeting; 0 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bani Gansè at home: 1.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Espoir Savalou away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Bani Gansè, 0.75 for Espoir Savalou. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.12

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~BAN 0–0 ESP · ESP 1–0 BAN · ESP 1–1 BAN · BAN 1–0 ESP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

BANI GANSÈ

DWWD1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

ESPOIR SAVALOU

LLDD0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Cavaliers	4	+10	10
2	Buffles	4	+5	10
3	ASPAC	4	+3	9
4	Bani Gansè	4	+3	8
5	Panthères	4	+2	7
6	AS Cotonou	4	0	7
7	Djeffa	4	−1	6
8	ASVO	4	−1	6
9	Kraké	4	−2	6
10	Hodio	4	+2	5
11	Damissa	4	+1	5
12	AS Sobemap	4	0	4
13	Coton Sport Ouidah	4	−2	4
14	Ayema	4	−2	4
15	Loto Popo	4	−3	4
16	Espoir Savalou	4	−3	2
17	Dragons	4	−5	1
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0