ASVO v Djeffa prediction · Championnat National

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ASVODrawDjeffa

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ASVO 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ASVO are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ASVO 53%, draw 30%, Djeffa 17%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on ASVO v DjeffaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

ASVO win53%

Draw30%

Djeffa win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ASVO

Djeffa

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Djeffa	4	−1	6
10	ASVO	4	−1	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asvo winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make ASVO a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ASVO v Djeffa~~1.30 – 0.60

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D0 L2 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 6~~10 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ASVO win	53%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Djeffa win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
ASVO or draw	83%	–	–
ASVO clean sheet	55%	–	–
Djeffa clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.9%

0123450 15.8 8.7 2.8 1 18.9 11.7 3.4 2 12.5 7.2 2.2 3 5.5 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ASVO down, Djeffa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,764 Championnat National matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.1% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 0.83 goals a meeting; 0 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ASVO at home: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Djeffa away: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.30 goals for ASVO, 0.60 for Djeffa. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~0.83

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 6

~~Both scored~~2 of 6

~~Last meetings~~DJE 1–1 ASV · ASV 1–0 DJE · DJE 0–0 ASV · ASV 0–0 DJE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

ASVO

WLWL1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–2

DJEFFA

WLLW2–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bani Gansè	5	+6	11
2	Cavaliers	5	+8	10
3	Buffles	4	+5	10
4	ASPAC	5	+3	10
5	Panthères	5	+2	8
6	AS Sobemap	5	+2	7
7	AS Cotonou	4	0	7
8	Hodio	5	+2	6
9	Djeffa	4	−1	6
10	ASVO	4	−1	6
11	Kraké	4	−2	6
12	Damissa	4	+1	5
13	Ayema	5	−2	5
14	Loto Popo	5	−3	5
15	Coton Sport Ouidah	4	−2	4
16	Dragons	5	−5	2
17	Espoir Savalou	5	−6	2
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0