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ASVO v ASPAC

ASVO

2–1Full time

ASPAC

Championnat National · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

ASVO 2–1 ASPAC ASVO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said ASVO win~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.642

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

ASVO win35%

Draw34%

ASPAC win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asvo winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

35% The market–

Us35%

We make ASVO a 35% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ASVO win	35%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
ASPAC win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	25%	–	–
Both teams to score	33%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	52%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	10%	–	–
ASVO or draw	69%	–	–
ASVO clean sheet	44%	–	–
ASPAC clean sheet	41%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 18.3%

0123450 18.3 14.5 6.2 1 15.5 13.3 5.4 2 7.1 5.8 2.4 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ASVO down, ASPAC across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,741 Championnat National matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 1.17 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ASVO at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). ASPAC away: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.90 goals for ASVO, 0.84 for ASPAC. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~1.17

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ASP 2–0 ASV · ASV 0–1 ASP · ASV 0–0 ASP · ASP 0–0 ASV

Form · last six in Championnat National

ASVO

DLWLWL0–0 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

ASPAC

WWLDWW2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Buffles	2	+4	6
2	ASPAC	2	+3	6
3	Cavaliers	2	+4	4
4	Hodio	2	+3	4
5	Bani Gansè	2	+1	4
6	Panthères	2	+1	3
7	Kraké	2	0	3
8	ASVO	2	0	3
9	AS Cotonou	2	−1	3
10	Ayema	2	−1	3
11	Djeffa	2	−1	3
12	Loto Popo	2	−1	3
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
14	Coton Sport Ouidah	2	−1	1
15	Damissa	2	−1	1
16	Dragons	2	−2	1
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0
18	Dynamo Abomey	2	−5	0