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Model 1.2

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AS Sobemap v Panthères

AS Sobemap
0–0Full time
Panthères

Championnat National · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 01:30
AS Sobemap 0–0 Panthères AS SOBEMAP WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said AS Sobemap win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.774

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AS Sobemap are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AS Sobemap 50%, draw 31%, Panthères 19%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 33%.

The AI’s read on AS Sobemap v PanthèresBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

AS Sobemap win50%
Draw31%
Panthères win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AS Sobemap

Panthères

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

Last match: 10 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Panthères3+26
12AS Sobemap303

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · as sobemap winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make AS Sobemap a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · AS Sobemap v Panthères1.24 – 0.64
Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 SeptW0 D3 L0 · W2 D0 L1
Table places · points 3 v 612 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
AS Sobemap win50%––
Draw31%––
Panthères win19%––
Over 2.5 goals29%––
Both teams to score33%––
Over 1.5 goals56%––
Over 3.5 goals12%––
AS Sobemap or draw81%––
AS Sobemap clean sheet53%––
Panthères clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.6%
0123450 15.9 9.6 3.2 1 18.6 12.1 3.8 2 11.6 7.3 2.3 3 4.9 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+AS Sobemap down, Panthères across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

AS SOBEMAP

DDD1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

PANTHÈRES

LWW1–2 · 2–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Cavaliers4+1010
2Buffles4+510
3ASPAC4+39
4Bani Gansè3+37
5Panthères3+26
6AS Cotonou306
7Djeffa4−16
8ASVO4−16
9Hodio4+25
10Damissa4+15
11Coton Sport Ouidah4−24
12AS Sobemap303
13Ayema3−23
14Loto Popo3−33
15Kraké3−43
16Espoir Savalou4−32
17Dragons3−31
18Dynamo Abomey4−70

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.