AS Cotonou v Kraké prediction · Championnat National

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

AS CotonouDrawKraké

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · AS Cotonou 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

AS Cotonou are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: AS Cotonou 46%, draw 32%, Kraké 22%. Over 2.5 goals 29%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on AS Cotonou v KrakéBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

AS Cotonou win46%

Draw32%

Kraké win22%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

AS Cotonou

Kraké

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Championnat National (Benin)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	AS Cotonou	4	0	7
11	Kraké	4	−2	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · as cotonou winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make AS Cotonou a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · AS Cotonou v Kraké~~1.17 – 0.71

~~Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~7 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AS Cotonou win	46%	–	–
Draw	32%	–	–
Kraké win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	29%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	56%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	12%	–	–
AS Cotonou or draw	78%	–	–
AS Cotonou clean sheet	49%	–	–
Kraké clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.3%

0123450 16.0 10.5 3.9 1 17.3 12.9 4.5 2 10.3 7.2 2.6 3 4.1 2.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AS Cotonou down, Kraké across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,764 Championnat National matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.1% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AS Cotonou at home: 0.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Kraké away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for AS Cotonou, 0.71 for Kraké. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ASC 1–1 KRA · KRA 0–1 ASC · KRA 1–0 ASC · ASC 2–0 KRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Championnat National this season · since 26 Sept

AS COTONOU

LWWD0–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–1

KRAKÉ

LWLW0–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bani Gansè	5	+6	11
2	Cavaliers	5	+8	10
3	Buffles	4	+5	10
4	ASPAC	5	+3	10
5	Panthères	5	+2	8
6	AS Sobemap	5	+2	7
7	AS Cotonou	4	0	7
8	Hodio	5	+2	6
9	Djeffa	4	−1	6
10	ASVO	4	−1	6
11	Kraké	4	−2	6
12	Damissa	4	+1	5
13	Ayema	5	−2	5
14	Loto Popo	5	−3	5
15	Coton Sport Ouidah	4	−2	4
16	Dragons	5	−5	2
17	Espoir Savalou	5	−6	2
18	Dynamo Abomey	4	−7	0