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AS Cotonou v Ayema

AS Cotonou

2–1Full time

Ayema

Championnat National · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

AS Cotonou 2–1 Ayema DRAW · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGUNDER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said a draw~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.612

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

AS Cotonou win37%

Draw38%

Ayema win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drawPublished 10 Oct 23:45

38% The market–

Us38%

We make the draw a 38% chance. The model expects 0.8–0.6, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 25%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
AS Cotonou win	37%	–	–
Draw	38%	–	–
Ayema win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	17%	–	–
Both teams to score	25%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	42%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	6%	–	–
AS Cotonou or draw	75%	–	–
AS Cotonou clean sheet	54%	–	–
Ayema clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 24.6%

0123450 24.6 14.5 4.6 1 19.1 12.0 3.6 2 7.8 4.8 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+AS Cotonou down, Ayema across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,741 Championnat National matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Championnat National matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

10 previous meetings, 2.10 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

AS Cotonou at home: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Ayema away: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.81 goals for AS Cotonou, 0.62 for Ayema. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~AYE 1–0 ASC · ASC 2–0 AYE · AYE 0–1 ASC · ASC 2–4 AYE

Form · last six in Championnat National

AS COTONOU

DLLDLW1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 2–0

AYEMA

WLDDLW1–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Buffles	2	+4	6
2	ASPAC	2	+3	6
3	Cavaliers	2	+4	4
4	Hodio	2	+3	4
5	Bani Gansè	2	+1	4
6	Panthères	2	+1	3
7	Kraké	2	0	3
8	ASVO	2	0	3
9	AS Cotonou	2	−1	3
10	Ayema	2	−1	3
11	Djeffa	2	−1	3
12	Loto Popo	2	−1	3
13	AS Sobemap	2	0	2
14	Coton Sport Ouidah	2	−1	1
15	Damissa	2	−1	1
16	Dragons	2	−2	1
17	Espoir Savalou	2	−3	0
18	Dynamo Abomey	2	−5	0