Standard Liege W v Anderlecht W prediction · Super League Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15

Standard Liege W 0–4 Anderlecht W ANDERLECHT W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Anderlecht W win~~54%

~~The market said~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.311

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.104

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Anderlecht W win at 54%.
2′Much as we predicted: Anderlecht W was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 23–23–54
2′Anderlecht W find the net on 2′. 0–1. 0–1 · 9–14–77
2′KICK-OFF Standard Liege W v Anderlecht W
2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Standard Liege W 0–1 Anderlecht W
2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Anderlecht W win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
3′We published Anderlecht W at 54%. Our model now makes it 77%. 0–1 · 9–14–77
25′A goal for Anderlecht W on 24′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–5–93
25′We published Anderlecht W at 54%. Our model now makes it 93%. 0–2 · 2–5–93
25′⚽ GOAL · 24' Standard Liege W 0–2 Anderlecht W
25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Anderlecht W win: 54% at kick-off, 93% now
32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Anderlecht W win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
36′Anderlecht W score on 35′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
36′⚽ GOAL · 35' Standard Liege W 0–3 Anderlecht W
37′We published Anderlecht W at 54%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–3 · 0–1–99
38′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–1–99
45′HALF-TIME Standard Liege W 0–3 Anderlecht W
46′SECOND HALF Standard Liege W 0–3 Anderlecht W
56′PENALTY MISSED · 55' Anderlecht W
57′We published Anderlecht W at 54%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
83′Anderlecht W find the net on 83′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Standard Liege W 0–4 Anderlecht W
84′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Standard Liege W 0–4 Anderlecht W
FTStandard Liege W 0–4 Anderlecht W · Anderlecht W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anderlecht W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Standard Liege W 23%, draw 23%, Anderlecht W 54%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Standard Liege W v Anderlecht WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Standard Liege W win23%

Draw23%

Anderlecht W win54%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Standard Liege W

Anderlecht W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anderlecht w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

54% The market74%

Us54%

~~Market~~74%

We make Anderlecht W a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 20 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Standard Liege W v Anderlecht W~~1.10 – 1.85

~~Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 15~~6 v 1

~~The market · Anderlecht W win~~74% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Anderlecht W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Standard Liege W win	23%	10%	+13
Draw	23%	16%	+7
Anderlecht W win	54%	74%	−20
Over 2.5 goals	56%	63%	−7
Both teams to score	55%	48%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	79%	81%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	34%	42%	−8
Standard Liege W or draw	46%	26%	+20
Standard Liege W clean sheet	16%	–	–
Anderlecht W clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 5.7 9.7 8.9 5.5 2.6 1 5.7 10.6 9.5 5.8 2.8 2 3.2 5.7 5.2 3.2 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Standard Liege W down, Anderlecht W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 662 Super League Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Standard Liege W at home: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Anderlecht W away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Standard Liege W, 1.85 for Anderlecht W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~STA 1–1 AND · AND 2–0 STA · AND 3–0 STA · AND 2–0 STA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept

STANDARD LIEGE W

LWLWLW1–3 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 4–3 · 0–2 · 4–1

ANDERLECHT W

WWWWLW4–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Anderlecht W	6	+10	15
2	Club Brugge W	6	+6	14
3	Genk W	7	0	11
4	OH Leuven W	6	+8	9
5	RAAL La Louviere W	7	−1	9
6	Standard Liege W	6	−4	9
7	Zulte-Waregem W	6	−4	3
8	Gent W	6	−15	0