OH Leuven W v Zulte-Waregem W prediction · Super League Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:41

OH Leuven W 4–0 Zulte-Waregem W OH LEUVEN W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said OH Leuven W win~~77%

~~The market said~~77%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.085

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.080

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said OH Leuven W win at 77%.
1′Little has changed for our model: OH Leuven W 77% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–9
1′KICK-OFF OH Leuven W v Zulte-Waregem W
30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' OH Leuven W win: 77% at kick-off, 67% now
34′OH Leuven W score on 34′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' OH Leuven W 1–0 Zulte-Waregem W
34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' OH Leuven W win: 77% at kick-off, 90% now
35′We said OH Leuven W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–8–2
35′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 90–8–2
45′HALF-TIME OH Leuven W 1–0 Zulte-Waregem W
46′SECOND HALF OH Leuven W 1–0 Zulte-Waregem W
65′OH Leuven W find the net on 64′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
65′⚽ GOAL · 64' OH Leuven W 2–0 Zulte-Waregem W
65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' OH Leuven W win: 77% at kick-off, 99% now
66′We said OH Leuven W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
75′We said OH Leuven W at 77% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
81′A goal for OH Leuven W on 81′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' OH Leuven W 3–0 Zulte-Waregem W
91′OH Leuven W score on 90′ to make it 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
91′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' OH Leuven W 4–0 Zulte-Waregem W
FTFULL TIME OH Leuven W 4–0 Zulte-Waregem W
FTOH Leuven W 4–0 Zulte-Waregem W · OH Leuven W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

OH Leuven W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: OH Leuven W 77%, draw 15%, Zulte-Waregem W 9%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on OH Leuven W v Zulte-Waregem WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

OH Leuven W win77%

Draw15%

Zulte-Waregem W win9%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

OH Leuven W

Zulte-Waregem W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	OH Leuven W	6	+8	9
7	Zulte-Waregem W	6	−4	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oh leuven w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

77% The market77%

Us77%

~~Market~~77%

We make OH Leuven W a 77% chance to win. The market has them at 77%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.6–0.7.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · OH Leuven W v Zulte-Waregem W~~2.59 – 0.72

~~Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 9 v 3~~4 v 7

~~The market · OH Leuven W win~~77% · ours 77%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · OH Leuven W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 77% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
OH Leuven W win	77%	77%	0
Draw	15%	15%	0
Zulte-Waregem W win	9%	8%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	63%	64%	−1
Both teams to score	47%	48%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	84%	82%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	42%	43%	−1
OH Leuven W or draw	91%	92%	−1
OH Leuven W clean sheet	49%	–	–
Zulte-Waregem W clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.1%

0123450 4.1 2.7 1 9.6 7.0 2.5 2 12.1 8.5 3.1 3 10.3 7.1 2.6 4 6.8 4.6 5 3.7 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+OH Leuven W down, Zulte-Waregem W across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 662 Super League Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.70 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

OH Leuven W at home: 2.17 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Zulte-Waregem W away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.59 goals for OH Leuven W, 0.72 for Zulte-Waregem W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.70

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~OHL 2–0 ZUL · ZUL 0–5 OHL · OHL 2–1 ZUL · OHL 6–0 ZUL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept

OH LEUVEN W

WDWDDL6–1 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–3

ZULTE-WAREGEM W

LLLLWL0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 3–4 · 3–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Anderlecht W	6	+10	15
2	Club Brugge W	6	+6	14
3	Genk W	7	0	11
4	OH Leuven W	6	+8	9
5	RAAL La Louviere W	7	−1	9
6	Standard Liege W	6	−4	9
7	Zulte-Waregem W	6	−4	3
8	Gent W	6	−15	0