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Genk W v RAAL La Louviere W

Genk W
1–1Full time
RAAL La Louviere W

Super League Women · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 15:38
Genk W 1–1 RAAL La Louviere W GENK W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Genk W win43%
The market said46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.842
The market’s Brier score0.857

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Genk W win at 43%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Genk W was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–26–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Genk W v RAAL La Louviere W
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Genk W 0–0 RAAL La Louviere W
  5. 46′SECOND HALF Genk W 0–0 RAAL La Louviere W
  6. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Genk W win 36%)
  7. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Genk W win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  8. 54′We said Genk W at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–44–24
  9. 55′A goal for RAAL La Louviere W on 55′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–23–69
  10. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Genk W 0–1 RAAL La Louviere W
  11. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Genk W win: 43% at kick-off, 8% now
  12. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' RAAL La Louviere W win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 44%)
  13. 56′We said Genk W at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–23–69
  14. 68′We said Genk W at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
  15. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Genk W win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  16. 91′Genk W score on 90′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 4–93–3
  17. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Genk W 1–1 RAAL La Louviere W
  18. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 93% (was RAAL La Louviere W win 95%)
  19. FTFULL TIME Genk W 1–1 RAAL La Louviere W
  20. FTGenk W 1–1 RAAL La Louviere W · Genk W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Genk W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Genk W 43%, draw 25%, RAAL La Louviere W 31%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Genk W v RAAL La Louviere WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Genk W win43%
Draw25%
RAAL La Louviere W win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Genk W

RAAL La Louviere W

7Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

Last match: 16 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Genk W6010
6RAAL La Louviere W6−18

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · genk w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
43% The market46%
Us43%
Market46%

We make Genk W a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Genk W v RAAL La Louviere W1.51 – 1.23
Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 10 v 83 v 6
The market · Genk W win46% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 12:15
Our probability · Genk W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Genk W win43%46%−3
Draw25%25%0
RAAL La Louviere W win31%29%+2
Over 2.5 goals51%55%−4
Both teams to score53%57%−4
Over 1.5 goals75%79%−4
Over 3.5 goals30%39%−9
Genk W or draw69%71%−2
Genk W clean sheet30%––
RAAL La Louviere W clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%
0123450 7.3 7.9 5.0 2.1 1 9.8 11.6 7.0 3.0 2 7.3 8.4 5.1 2.2 3 3.8 4.3 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Genk W down, RAAL La Louviere W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept

GENK W

LDLWWW0–4 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–1

RAAL LA LOUVIERE W

WLWLDD1–0 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Anderlecht W6+1015
2Club Brugge W6+614
3Genk W6010
4OH Leuven W6+89
5Standard Liege W6−49
6RAAL La Louviere W6−18
7Zulte-Waregem W6−43
8Gent W6−150

The competition's standings before kick-off.