Club Brugge W v Gent W prediction · Super League Women

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Club Brugge W 5–0 Gent W CLUB BRUGGE W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Club Brugge W win~~76%

~~The market said~~85%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.089

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.033

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 13 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Club Brugge W win at 76%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Club Brugge W 76% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–15–10
1′KICK-OFF Club Brugge W v Gent W
33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Club Brugge W win: 76% at kick-off, 66% now
38′We said Club Brugge W at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 64%. 0–0 · 64–24–12
45′HALF-TIME Club Brugge W 0–0 Gent W
46′SECOND HALF Club Brugge W 0–0 Gent W
48′We said Club Brugge W at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–29–12
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Club Brugge W win: 76% at kick-off, 56% now
55′We said Club Brugge W at 76%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–34–12
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.7 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 54–34–12
58′Club Brugge W find the net on 58′. 1–0. 1–0 · 89–10–2
58′We said Club Brugge W at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–10–2
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Club Brugge W 1–0 Gent W
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Club Brugge W win: 76% at kick-off, 89% now
63′A goal for Club Brugge W on 62′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
63′We said Club Brugge W at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
63′⚽ GOAL · 62' Club Brugge W 2–0 Gent W
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Club Brugge W win: 76% at kick-off, 99% now
69′Club Brugge W score on 69′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
69′We said Club Brugge W at 76% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Club Brugge W 3–0 Gent W
70′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 3–0 · 100–0–0
75′Club Brugge W find the net on 75′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Club Brugge W 4–0 Gent W
76′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
78′A goal for Club Brugge W on 77′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
78′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
78′⚽ GOAL · 77' Club Brugge W 5–0 Gent W
FTFULL TIME Club Brugge W 5–0 Gent W
FTClub Brugge W 5–0 Gent W · Club Brugge W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Club Brugge W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Club Brugge W 76%, draw 14%, Gent W 10%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Club Brugge W v Gent WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Club Brugge W win76%

Draw14%

Gent W win10%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Club Brugge W

Gent W

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

Last match: 17 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Club Brugge W	6	+6	14
8	Gent W	6	−15	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · club brugge w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

76% The market85%

Us76%

~~Market~~85%

We make Club Brugge W a 76% chance to win. The market has them at 85%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.8–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Club Brugge W v Gent W~~2.81 – 0.85

~~Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W0 D0 L6

~~Table places · points 14 v 0~~2 v 8

~~The market · Club Brugge W win~~85% · ours 76%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Club Brugge W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 85% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Club Brugge W win	76%	85%	−9
Draw	14%	10%	+4
Gent W win	10%	5%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	69%	76%	−7
Both teams to score	53%	47%	+6
Over 1.5 goals	87%	90%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	49%	57%	−8
Club Brugge W or draw	90%	95%	−5
Club Brugge W clean sheet	43%	–	–
Gent W clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.9%

0123450 3.1 2.4 1 7.4 6.6 2.9 2 9.9 8.3 3.6 3 9.0 7.3 3.2 4 6.4 5.1 2.1 5 3.8 3.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Club Brugge W down, Gent W across0–5 goals a side shown (91.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 662 Super League Women matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.40 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Club Brugge W at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Gent W away: 1.17 scored, 3.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.81 goals for Club Brugge W, 0.85 for Gent W. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.40

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~CLU 3–0 GEN · CLU 1–2 GEN · GEN 1–4 CLU · GEN 0–1 CLU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept

CLUB BRUGGE W

WWWDWD3–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 2–2

GENT W

LLLLLL1–6 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Anderlecht W	6	+10	15
2	Club Brugge W	6	+6	14
3	Genk W	6	0	10
4	OH Leuven W	6	+8	9
5	Standard Liege W	6	−4	9
6	RAAL La Louviere W	6	−1	8
7	Zulte-Waregem W	6	−4	3
8	Gent W	6	−15	0