Anderlecht W v OH Leuven W prediction · Super League Women

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Anderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W OH LEUVEN W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said OH Leuven W win~~39%

~~The market said~~29%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.648

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.481

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said OH Leuven W win at 39%.
1′Little has changed for our model: OH Leuven W 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 35–27–39
1′KICK-OFF Anderlecht W v OH Leuven W
3′A goal for Anderlecht W on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 61–21–18
3′We said OH Leuven W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 61–21–18
3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Anderlecht W 1–0 OH Leuven W
3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' OH Leuven W win: 39% at kick-off, 18% now
3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Anderlecht W win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was OH Leuven W win 18%)
22′We said OH Leuven W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
31′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 65–22–12
36′Anderlecht W score on 36′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
36′We said OH Leuven W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Anderlecht W 2–0 OH Leuven W
36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' OH Leuven W win: 39% at kick-off, 3% now
38′OH Leuven W find the net on 37′. 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–11
38′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 67–22–11
38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Anderlecht W 2–1 OH Leuven W
44′We said OH Leuven W at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 68–22–9
45′A goal for Anderlecht W on 45′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 91–7–2
45′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 91–7–2
45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Anderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W
45′HALF-TIME Anderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W
46′SECOND HALF Anderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W
FTFULL TIME Anderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W
FTAnderlecht W 3–1 OH Leuven W · OH Leuven W win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with OH Leuven W just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Anderlecht W 35%, draw 26%, OH Leuven W 39%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Anderlecht W v OH Leuven WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Anderlecht W win35%

Draw26%

OH Leuven W win39%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:30

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anderlecht W

OH Leuven W

14Days since last match13

Last match: 3 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

Last match: 4 Oct · the Belgian Super League Women

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Anderlecht W	5	+8	12
3	OH Leuven W	5	+10	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oh leuven w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

39% The market29%

Us39%

~~Market~~29%

We make OH Leuven W a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anderlecht W v OH Leuven W~~1.28 – 1.37

~~Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D0 L1 · W2 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 9~~2 v 3

~~The market · OH Leuven W win~~29% · ours 39%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · OH Leuven W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anderlecht W win	35%	43%	−8
Draw	26%	27%	−1
OH Leuven W win	39%	29%	+10
Over 2.5 goals	49%	49%	0
Both teams to score	53%	54%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	74%	73%	+1
Over 3.5 goals	28%	28%	0
Anderlecht W or draw	61%	71%	−10
Anderlecht W clean sheet	26%	–	–
OH Leuven W clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.8 9.6 6.6 3.1 1 8.9 12.2 8.1 3.8 2 5.7 7.6 5.2 2.4 3 2.5 3.3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anderlecht W down, OH Leuven W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 659 Super League Women matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League Women matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Anderlecht W at home: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). OH Leuven W away: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Anderlecht W, 1.37 for OH Leuven W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~OHL 1–1 AND · AND 1–1 OHL · AND 0–1 OHL · OHL 3–0 AND

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League Women this season · since 5 Sept

ANDERLECHT W

WWWWL4–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 1–3

OH LEUVEN W

WDWDD6–1 · 0–0 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Club Brugge W	6	+6	14
2	Anderlecht W	5	+8	12
3	OH Leuven W	5	+10	9
4	RAAL La Louviere W	6	−1	8
5	Genk W	5	−1	7
6	Standard Liege W	5	−7	6
7	Zulte-Waregem W	5	−3	3
8	Gent W	5	−12	0