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Wilrijk v Diegem Sport

Wilrijk

2–1Full time

Diegem Sport

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:46

Wilrijk 2–1 Diegem Sport WILRIJK WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Wilrijk win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.559

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wilrijk win40%

Draw21%

Diegem Sport win39%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wilrijk winPublished 10 Oct 21:35

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Wilrijk a 40% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wilrijk win	40%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Diegem Sport win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	73%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	55%	–	–
Wilrijk or draw	61%	–	–
Wilrijk clean sheet	15%	–	–
Diegem Sport clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.4 3.8 3.9 2.5 1 3.8 7.8 7.2 4.7 2.4 2 3.9 7.3 6.9 4.5 2.2 3 2.6 4.8 4.6 2.9 4 2.4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wilrijk down, Diegem Sport across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,380 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Wilrijk at home: 2.67 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 3). Diegem Sport away: 1.67 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.97 goals for Wilrijk, 1.96 for Diegem Sport. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B

WILRIJK

WLLWLW5–0 · 2–4 · 0–4 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 3–2

DIEGEM SPORT

DWLDDW1–1 · 5–2 · 2–6 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	6	+14	18
2	Hades	6	+8	13
3	De Kempen	6	+9	12
4	Wilrijk	6	+3	9
5	Royal Antwerp II	6	+1	9
6	Diegem Sport	6	0	9
7	Racing Mechelen	6	0	9
8	Eendracht Termien	6	+2	8
9	Wellen	6	−1	7
10	Rotselaar	6	−2	7
11	Rupel Boom	6	−6	7
12	Nijlen	6	−7	7
13	Bocholt	6	−7	5
14	Tongeren	6	−3	4
15	Sint-Truiden II	6	−5	4
16	Cappellen	6	−6	3