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Wellen v Royal Antwerp II

Wellen

1–0Full time

Royal Antwerp II

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:46

Wellen 1–0 Royal Antwerp II ROYAL ANTWERP II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Royal Antwerp II win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.887

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wellen win25%

Draw24%

Royal Antwerp II win51%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · royal antwerp ii winPublished 10 Oct 21:35

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Royal Antwerp II a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wellen win	25%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Royal Antwerp II win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Wellen or draw	49%	–	–
Wellen clean sheet	18%	–	–
Royal Antwerp II clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.3 9.6 8.5 5.0 2.2 1 6.2 11.3 9.4 5.5 2.4 2 3.7 6.2 5.3 3.1 3 2.4 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wellen down, Royal Antwerp II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,380 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wellen at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Royal Antwerp II away: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Wellen, 1.74 for Royal Antwerp II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ROY 0–1 WEL · WEL 1–0 ROY

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B

WELLEN

WWLDLL1–0 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–3

ROYAL ANTWERP II

WLLWLW2–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 4–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	6	+14	18
2	Hades	6	+8	13
3	De Kempen	6	+9	12
4	Wilrijk	6	+3	9
5	Royal Antwerp II	6	+1	9
6	Diegem Sport	6	0	9
7	Racing Mechelen	6	0	9
8	Eendracht Termien	6	+2	8
9	Wellen	6	−1	7
10	Rotselaar	6	−2	7
11	Rupel Boom	6	−6	7
12	Nijlen	6	−7	7
13	Bocholt	6	−7	5
14	Tongeren	6	−3	4
15	Sint-Truiden II	6	−5	4
16	Cappellen	6	−6	3