Wellen v Bocholt prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 22:08

Wellen 1–3 Bocholt BOCHOLT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bocholt win~~39%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.574

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Bocholt just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Wellen 37%, draw 24%, Bocholt 39%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Wellen v BocholtBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Wellen win37%

Draw24%

Bocholt win39%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundVFV B · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Wellen

Bocholt

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV B

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV B

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Bocholt	8	0	11
11	Wellen	8	−2	10

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bocholt winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Bocholt a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Wellen v Bocholt~~1.57 – 1.60

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 10 v 11~~11 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Wellen win	37%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bocholt win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Wellen or draw	61%	–	–
Wellen clean sheet	21%	–	–
Bocholt clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 4.8 6.5 5.4 2.9 1 6.4 10.8 8.2 4.4 2 5.2 8.1 6.4 3.4 3 2.7 4.3 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Wellen down, Bocholt across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,396 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Wellen at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Bocholt away: 1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.57 goals for Wellen, 1.60 for Bocholt. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BOC 4–0 WEL · WEL 0–2 BOC · BOC 1–2 WEL · WEL 1–0 BOC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 12 Sept

WELLEN

LDLLWL2–3 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–3 · 1–0 · 0–2

BOCHOLT

LDWLWW0–2 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 2–1 · 6–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	8	+15	21
2	De Kempen	8	+9	15
3	Racing Mechelen	8	+7	15
4	Hades	8	+5	13
5	Royal Antwerp II	8	+3	12
6	Wilrijk	8	+1	12
7	Eendracht Termien	8	+2	11
8	Bocholt	8	0	11
9	Rupel Boom	8	−3	11
10	Sint-Truiden II	8	−1	10
11	Wellen	8	−2	10
12	Rotselaar	8	−3	10
13	Nijlen	8	−8	10
14	Diegem Sport	8	−4	9
15	Tongeren	8	−6	5
16	Cappellen	8	−15	3