Home › Football › Second Amateur Division - VFV B › Tongeren v Rupel Boom

Tongeren v Rupel Boom

Tongeren

0–0Full time

Rupel Boom

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:01

Tongeren 0–0 Rupel Boom RUPEL BOOM WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rupel Boom win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.824

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Tongeren win32%

Draw26%

Rupel Boom win42%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rupel boom winPublished 10 Oct 20:35

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Rupel Boom a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tongeren win	32%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Rupel Boom win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Tongeren or draw	58%	–	–
Tongeren clean sheet	23%	–	–
Rupel Boom clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 7.3 9.5 7.2 3.6 1 7.9 12.2 8.7 4.3 2 5.1 7.3 5.4 2.7 3 2.1 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tongeren down, Rupel Boom across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,380 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

6 previous meetings, 2.67 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tongeren at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Rupel Boom away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Tongeren, 1.48 for Rupel Boom. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.67

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~RUP 1–1 TON · TON 0–1 RUP · RUP 3–1 TON · TON 1–1 RUP

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B

TONGEREN

DDDLDL2–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 0–1

RUPEL BOOM

LDWLLW0–4 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	6	+14	18
2	Hades	6	+8	13
3	De Kempen	6	+9	12
4	Wilrijk	6	+3	9
5	Royal Antwerp II	6	+1	9
6	Diegem Sport	6	0	9
7	Racing Mechelen	6	0	9
8	Eendracht Termien	6	+2	8
9	Wellen	6	−1	7
10	Rotselaar	6	−2	7
11	Rupel Boom	6	−6	7
12	Nijlen	6	−7	7
13	Bocholt	6	−7	5
14	Tongeren	6	−3	4
15	Sint-Truiden II	6	−5	4
16	Cappellen	6	−6	3