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Sint-Truiden II v Tongeren

Sint-Truiden II

14:00Upcoming

Tongeren

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sint-Truiden IIDrawTongeren

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sint-Truiden II 54%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sint-Truiden II are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sint-Truiden II 54%, draw 21%, Tongeren 25%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Sint-Truiden II v TongerenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Sint-Truiden II win54%

Draw21%

Tongeren win25%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundVFV B · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sint-Truiden II

Tongeren

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV B

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Sint-Truiden II	8	−1	10
16	Tongeren	8	−6	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sint-truiden ii winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Sint-Truiden II a 54% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sint-Truiden II v Tongeren~~2.16 – 1.43

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 5~~11 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sint-Truiden II win	54%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Tongeren win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Sint-Truiden II or draw	75%	–	–
Sint-Truiden II clean sheet	24%	–	–
Tongeren clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%

0123450 3.2 3.8 2.9 1 5.8 8.8 6.0 2.9 2 6.4 9.0 6.4 3.1 3 4.6 6.4 4.6 2.2 4 2.5 3.5 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sint-Truiden II down, Tongeren across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,396 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 73.4% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sint-Truiden II at home: 3.00 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Tongeren away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.16 goals for Sint-Truiden II, 1.43 for Tongeren. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SIN 4–2 TON · TON 1–3 SIN · TON 3–1 SIN · SIN 0–1 TON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 12 Sept

SINT-TRUIDEN II

WLLLWW6–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1

TONGEREN

DLDLDL2–2 · 0–2 · 3–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	9	+16	24
2	De Kempen	8	+9	15
3	Racing Mechelen	9	+5	15
4	Royal Antwerp II	9	+4	15
5	Hades	9	+5	14
6	Bocholt	9	+2	14
7	Wilrijk	9	0	12
8	Eendracht Termien	8	+2	11
9	Rupel Boom	8	−3	11
10	Nijlen	9	−8	11
11	Sint-Truiden II	8	−1	10
12	Rotselaar	9	−4	10
13	Wellen	9	−4	10
14	Diegem Sport	8	−4	9
15	Cappellen	9	−13	6
16	Tongeren	8	−6	5