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Model 1.1

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Nijlen v Racing Mechelen

Nijlen
1–5Full time
Racing Mechelen

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:04
Nijlen 1–5 Racing Mechelen RACING MECHELEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Racing Mechelen win42%
The market said41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.505
The market’s Brier score0.527

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

NijlenDrawRacing Mechelen
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Nijlen 1–5 Racing Mechelen

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Nijlen

Racing Mechelen

8Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Racing Mechelen609
13Nijlen6−77

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Nijlen win34%
Draw24%
Racing Mechelen win42%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:30

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · racing mechelen winPublished 11 Oct 16:05
42% The market41%
Us42%
Market41%

We make Racing Mechelen a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.7.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1711 OCT 04:01
Our probability · racing mechelen win The market, margin stripped

Published at 43%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nijlen win34%33%+1
Draw24%26%−2
Racing Mechelen win42%41%+1
Over 2.5 goals60%57%+4
Both teams to score62%60%+2
Over 1.5 goals82%78%+4
Over 3.5 goals38%36%+2
Nijlen or draw58%59%−1
Nijlen clean sheet19%––
Racing Mechelen clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.9 7.1 6.1 3.4 1 6.2 10.8 8.6 4.8 2.1 2 4.7 7.6 6.3 3.5 3 2.3 3.8 3.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nijlen down, Racing Mechelen across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.50
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsNIJ 2–2 RAC · RAC 1–2 NIJ

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B

NIJLEN

LLWDWL0–2 · 0–5 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–4

RACING MECHELEN

DDWLWD1–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 1–4 · 3–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tempo Overijse7+1318
2De Kempen7+1115
3Hades7+613
4Wilrijk7+412
5Rotselaar7010
6Wellen7010
7Racing Mechelen609
8Royal Antwerp II709
9Diegem Sport7−19
10Eendracht Termien708
11Bocholt7−68
12Rupel Boom7−68
13Nijlen6−77
14Tongeren7−35
15Sint-Truiden II6−54
16Cappellen6−63

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 15:05 UTC.