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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Second Amateur Division - VFV B › Diegem Sport v Nijlen

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Diegem Sport v Nijlen

Diegem Sport
1–4Full time
Nijlen

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 21:30
Diegem Sport 1–4 Nijlen DIEGEM SPORT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Diegem Sport win67%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.176
The market’s Brier score1.088

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Diegem Sport are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Diegem Sport 67%, draw 17%, Nijlen 16%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 69%.

The AI’s read on Diegem Sport v NijlenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Diegem Sport win67%
Draw17%
Nijlen win16%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:00

RoundVFV B · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Diegem Sport

Nijlen

11Days since last match3

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV B

Last match: 18 Oct · the Belgian Cup

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Diegem Sport7−19
14Nijlen7−117

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · diegem sport winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
67% The market61%
Us67%
Market61%

We make Diegem Sport a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Diegem Sport v Nijlen2.82 – 1.34
Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 5 SeptW2 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 9 v 713 v 14
The market · Diegem Sport win61% · ours 67%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 18:36
Our probability · Diegem Sport win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Diegem Sport win67%61%+6
Draw17%21%−4
Nijlen win16%18%−2
Over 2.5 goals77%60%+17
Both teams to score69%56%+13
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals59%39%+20
Diegem Sport or draw84%82%+2
Diegem Sport clean sheet27%––
Nijlen clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%
0123450 2.1 1 4.5 6.3 4.0 2 6.2 8.1 5.4 2.5 3 5.7 7.4 4.9 2.2 4 4.0 5.2 3.5 5 2.3 3.0
under 2% 5% 12%+Diegem Sport down, Nijlen across0–5 goals a side shown (92.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B this season · since 5 Sept

DIEGEM SPORT

WLDDWL5–2 · 2–6 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

NIJLEN

LWDWLL0–5 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 1–5

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tempo Overijse8+1521
2De Kempen8+915
3Racing Mechelen8+715
4Hades8+513
5Royal Antwerp II8+312
6Wilrijk8+112
7Eendracht Termien8+211
8Bocholt8011
9Rupel Boom8−311
10Sint-Truiden II8−110
11Wellen8−210
12Rotselaar8−310
13Diegem Sport7−19
14Nijlen7−117
15Tongeren8−65
16Cappellen8−153

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.