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De Kempen v Hades

De Kempen

3–1Full time

Hades

Second Amateur Division - VFV B · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:01

De Kempen 3–1 Hades DE KEMPEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said De Kempen win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.334

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

De Kempen win53%

Draw22%

Hades win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · de kempen winPublished 10 Oct 20:35

53% The market–

Us53%

We make De Kempen a 53% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
De Kempen win	53%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Hades win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	63%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
De Kempen or draw	75%	–	–
De Kempen clean sheet	27%	–	–
Hades clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.0 4.5 3.2 1 6.9 9.6 6.1 2.8 2 7.1 9.2 6.1 2.7 3 4.8 6.2 4.1 4 2.5 3.2 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+De Kempen down, Hades across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,380 Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV B matches have gone over 2.5 in 72.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

De Kempen at home: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 3). Hades away: 2.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.02 goals for De Kempen, 1.34 for Hades. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV B

DE KEMPEN

DDWWDW3–3 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 4–1

HADES

LWWWDW0–3 · 3–0 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 3–3 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Tempo Overijse	6	+14	18
2	Hades	6	+8	13
3	De Kempen	6	+9	12
4	Wilrijk	6	+3	9
5	Royal Antwerp II	6	+1	9
6	Diegem Sport	6	0	9
7	Racing Mechelen	6	0	9
8	Eendracht Termien	6	+2	8
9	Wellen	6	−1	7
10	Rotselaar	6	−2	7
11	Rupel Boom	6	−6	7
12	Nijlen	6	−7	7
13	Bocholt	6	−7	5
14	Tongeren	6	−3	4
15	Sint-Truiden II	6	−5	4
16	Cappellen	6	−6	3