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VW Hamme v KRC Gent

VW Hamme

14:00Upcoming

KRC Gent

Second Amateur Division - VFV A · SUN 25 OCT

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

VW HammeDrawKRC Gent

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · VW Hamme 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

VW Hamme are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: VW Hamme 45%, draw 21%, KRC Gent 33%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 72%.

The AI’s read on VW Hamme v KRC GentBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

VW Hamme win45%

Draw21%

KRC Gent win33%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

VW Hamme

KRC Gent

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	VW Hamme	8	−4	11
14	KRC Gent	8	−3	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vw hamme winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make VW Hamme a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · VW Hamme v KRC Gent~~2.07 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 8~~10 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
VW Hamme win	45%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
KRC Gent win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
VW Hamme or draw	67%	–	–
VW Hamme clean sheet	18%	–	–
KRC Gent clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.6 3.6 3.4 1 4.3 8.2 6.8 4.0 2 4.7 8.1 7.0 4.1 3 3.3 5.6 4.8 2.8 4 2.9 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+VW Hamme down, KRC Gent across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,394 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

VW Hamme at home: 1.50 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). KRC Gent away: 1.67 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.07 goals for VW Hamme, 1.75 for KRC Gent. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VWH 3–0 KRC · KRC 1–0 VWH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 Sept

VW HAMME

LWLWWL1–6 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 1–2

KRC GENT

DLLWLW0–0 · 1–2 · 4–7 · 5–1 · 1–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	8	+7	17
2	Diksmuide	8	+4	16
3	Voorde Appelterre	9	+3	15
4	Mechelen II	9	+4	14
5	Oostkamp	9	+3	13
6	FC Lebbeke	9	+2	13
7	Sparta Petegem	9	+2	13
8	Ninove	9	−4	12
9	Torhout	8	0	11
10	VW Hamme	8	−4	11
11	Londerzeel	8	0	10
12	Zulte Waregem II	9	+1	9
13	RFC Wetteren	8	−4	9
14	KRC Gent	8	−3	8
15	HO Kalken	8	−5	7
16	Oudenaarde	9	−6	6