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VW Hamme v FC Lebbeke

VW Hamme

3–2Full time

FC Lebbeke

Second Amateur Division - VFV A · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:31

VW Hamme 3–2 FC Lebbeke VW HAMME WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said VW Hamme win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.582

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

VW Hamme win38%

Draw24%

FC Lebbeke win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vw hamme winPublished 10 Oct 21:03

38% The market–

Us38%

We make VW Hamme a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
VW Hamme win	38%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FC Lebbeke win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
VW Hamme or draw	62%	–	–
VW Hamme clean sheet	20%	–	–
FC Lebbeke clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%

0123450 4.3 6.2 5.2 2.8 1 6.2 10.4 8.1 4.4 2 5.2 8.2 6.5 3.5 3 2.8 4.4 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+VW Hamme down, FC Lebbeke across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,378 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

VW Hamme at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). FC Lebbeke away: 1.00 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for VW Hamme, 1.62 for FC Lebbeke. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCL 0–2 VWH · VWH 0–1 FCL

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A

VW HAMME

DDLWLW3–3 · 1–1 · 1–6 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 1–0

FC LEBBEKE

LLLDWW1–2 · 1–4 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	6	+8	16
2	Diksmuide	6	+4	13
3	Oostkamp	6	+4	11
4	Mechelen II	6	+3	10
5	Voorde Appelterre	6	+2	10
6	Zulte Waregem II	6	+4	8
7	Sparta Petegem	6	+1	8
8	Torhout	6	−1	8
9	RFC Wetteren	6	−3	8
10	VW Hamme	6	−4	8
11	FC Lebbeke	6	+1	7
12	Ninove	6	−5	7
13	Londerzeel	6	−1	6
14	KRC Gent	6	−1	5
15	Oudenaarde	6	−4	5
16	HO Kalken	6	−8	1