Voorde Appelterre v Eendracht Aalst prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Voorde Appelterre 1–1 Eendracht Aalst EENDRACHT AALST WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Eendracht Aalst win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.887

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Eendracht Aalst are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Voorde Appelterre 26%, draw 24%, Eendracht Aalst 50%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Voorde Appelterre v Eendracht AalstBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Voorde Appelterre win26%

Draw24%

Eendracht Aalst win50%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Voorde Appelterre

Eendracht Aalst

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 11 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	7	+7	16
6	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eendracht aalst winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Eendracht Aalst a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Voorde Appelterre v Eendracht Aalst~~1.15 – 1.71

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 16~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Voorde Appelterre win	26%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Eendracht Aalst win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Voorde Appelterre or draw	50%	–	–
Voorde Appelterre clean sheet	19%	–	–
Eendracht Aalst clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.4 9.6 8.3 4.8 2.1 1 6.4 11.3 9.2 5.3 2.3 2 3.9 6.4 5.3 3.0 3 2.5 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Voorde Appelterre down, Eendracht Aalst across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,389 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.9% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Voorde Appelterre at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Eendracht Aalst away: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.15 goals for Voorde Appelterre, 1.71 for Eendracht Aalst. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~EEN 1–2 VOO · VOO 0–1 EEN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept

VOORDE APPELTERRE

DWLLWD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

EENDRACHT AALST

WWDWWL2–0 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–3 · 1–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	7	+7	16
2	Diksmuide	7	+5	16
3	Mechelen II	8	+4	13
4	Oostkamp	7	+3	11
5	Torhout	7	+2	11
6	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11
7	VW Hamme	7	−3	11
8	FC Lebbeke	8	+1	10
9	Ninove	7	−4	10
10	Zulte Waregem II	8	+2	9
11	Sparta Petegem	7	+1	9
12	RFC Wetteren	8	−4	9
13	KRC Gent	8	−3	8
14	Londerzeel	7	−1	7
15	Oudenaarde	8	−5	6
16	HO Kalken	7	−7	4