Home › Football › Second Amateur Division - VFV A › Torhout v KRC Gent

Torhout v KRC Gent

Torhout

4–1Full time

KRC Gent

Second Amateur Division - VFV A · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:01

Torhout 4–1 KRC Gent TORHOUT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Torhout win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.416

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Torhout win48%

Draw21%

KRC Gent win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · torhout winPublished 10 Oct 20:35

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Torhout a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Torhout win	48%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
KRC Gent win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	72%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	90%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Torhout or draw	69%	–	–
Torhout clean sheet	18%	–	–
KRC Gent clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.4 3.5 3.2 1 4.4 7.9 6.6 3.8 2 4.9 8.1 6.9 4.0 3 3.5 5.8 4.9 2.8 4 3.1 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Torhout down, KRC Gent across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,378 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 54.2% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 2.75 goals a meeting; 4 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Torhout at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). KRC Gent away: 1.83 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.15 goals for Torhout, 1.72 for KRC Gent. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~KRC 1–4 TOR · TOR 1–1 KRC · KRC 2–2 TOR · TOR 1–1 KRC

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A

TORHOUT

WDDLWL3–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2

KRC GENT

LDDLLW0–1 · 3–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 4–7 · 5–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	6	+8	16
2	Diksmuide	6	+4	13
3	Oostkamp	6	+4	11
4	Mechelen II	6	+3	10
5	Voorde Appelterre	6	+2	10
6	Zulte Waregem II	6	+4	8
7	Sparta Petegem	6	+1	8
8	Torhout	6	−1	8
9	RFC Wetteren	6	−3	8
10	VW Hamme	6	−4	8
11	FC Lebbeke	6	+1	7
12	Ninove	6	−5	7
13	Londerzeel	6	−1	6
14	KRC Gent	6	−1	5
15	Oudenaarde	6	−4	5
16	HO Kalken	6	−8	1