Oudenaarde v FC Lebbeke prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15

Oudenaarde 2–3 FC Lebbeke OUDENAARDE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Oudenaarde win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.629

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Oudenaarde just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Oudenaarde 40%, draw 24%, FC Lebbeke 36%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Oudenaarde v FC LebbekeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Oudenaarde win40%

Draw24%

FC Lebbeke win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:15

RoundVFV A · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Oudenaarde

FC Lebbeke

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	FC Lebbeke	8	+1	10
16	Oudenaarde	8	−5	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oudenaarde winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Oudenaarde a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Oudenaarde v FC Lebbeke~~1.61 – 1.52

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 Sept~~W0 D3 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 10~~16 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Oudenaarde win	40%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FC Lebbeke win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Oudenaarde or draw	64%	–	–
Oudenaarde clean sheet	22%	–	–
FC Lebbeke clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.0 6.4 5.1 2.6 1 6.7 11.0 8.0 4.1 2 5.7 8.5 6.3 3.2 3 3.1 4.5 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Oudenaarde down, FC Lebbeke across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,394 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Oudenaarde at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC Lebbeke away: 1.33 scored, 3.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for Oudenaarde, 1.52 for FC Lebbeke. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~OUD 0–1 FCL · FCL 0–0 OUD · FCL 1–3 OUD · OUD 2–3 FCL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 Sept

OUDENAARDE

DLLDDL3–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

FC LEBBEKE

LDWWLW1–3 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 2–3 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	8	+7	17
2	Diksmuide	8	+4	16
3	Mechelen II	8	+4	13
4	Oostkamp	8	+3	12
5	Sparta Petegem	8	+2	12
6	Voorde Appelterre	8	+2	12
7	Torhout	8	0	11
8	Ninove	8	−4	11
9	VW Hamme	8	−4	11
10	FC Lebbeke	8	+1	10
11	Londerzeel	8	0	10
12	Zulte Waregem II	8	+2	9
13	RFC Wetteren	8	−4	9
14	KRC Gent	8	−3	8
15	HO Kalken	8	−5	7
16	Oudenaarde	8	−5	6