Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Second Amateur Division - VFV A › Ninove v Sparta Petegem

Back
Belgium flag

Ninove v Sparta Petegem

Ninove
1–1Full time
Sparta Petegem

Second Amateur Division - VFV A · SAT 24 OCT

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15
Ninove 1–1 Sparta Petegem NINOVE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Ninove win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.910

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ninove are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ninove 45%, draw 22%, Sparta Petegem 32%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Ninove v Sparta PetegemBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Ninove win45%
Draw22%
Sparta Petegem win32%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundVFV A · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ninove

Sparta Petegem

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Sparta Petegem8+212
8Ninove8−411

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ninove winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Ninove a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ninove v Sparta Petegem1.92 – 1.60
Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W3 D2 L1
Table places · points 11 v 128 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 17:38
Our probability · Ninove win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ninove win45%––
Draw22%––
Sparta Petegem win32%––
Over 2.5 goals68%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Ninove or draw68%––
Ninove clean sheet21%––
Sparta Petegem clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%
0123450 3.5 4.5 3.9 2.1 1 5.5 9.4 7.1 3.8 2 5.5 8.5 6.7 3.6 3 3.5 5.4 4.3 2.3 4 2.7 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ninove down, Sparta Petegem across0–5 goals a side shown (97.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.25
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsNIN 4–5 SPA · SPA 2–2 NIN · NIN 1–1 SPA · SPA 1–1 NIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 12 Sept

NINOVE

DWWLWD3–3 · 4–2 · 7–4 · 0–5 · 3–2 · 0–0

SPARTA PETEGEM

DWLWDW0–0 · 4–3 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Eendracht Aalst8+717
2Diksmuide8+416
3Mechelen II8+413
4Oostkamp8+312
5Sparta Petegem8+212
6Voorde Appelterre8+212
7Torhout8011
8Ninove8−411
9VW Hamme8−411
10FC Lebbeke8+110
11Londerzeel8010
12Zulte Waregem II8+29
13RFC Wetteren8−49
14KRC Gent8−38
15HO Kalken8−57
16Oudenaarde8−56

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.