Mechelen II v Oostkamp prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 22:08

Mechelen II 1–1 Oostkamp MECHELEN II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Mechelen II win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.885

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Mechelen II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mechelen II 41%, draw 23%, Oostkamp 36%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Mechelen II v OostkampBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Mechelen II win41%

Draw23%

Oostkamp win36%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mechelen II

Oostkamp

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Mechelen II	8	+4	13
4	Oostkamp	8	+3	12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mechelen ii winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Mechelen II a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mechelen II v Oostkamp~~1.75 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 13 v 12~~3 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Mechelen II win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mechelen II win	41%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Oostkamp win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Mechelen II or draw	64%	–	–
Mechelen II clean sheet	20%	–	–
Oostkamp clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 3.9 5.2 4.6 2.5 1 5.6 10.0 7.8 4.3 2 5.2 8.3 6.7 3.7 3 3.0 4.9 3.9 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mechelen II down, Oostkamp across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,394 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Mechelen II at home: 2.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Oostkamp away: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.75 goals for Mechelen II, 1.64 for Oostkamp. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MEC 2–3 OOS · OOS 2–1 MEC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 13 Sept

MECHELEN II

LWWDLW2–3 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 4–2

OOSTKAMP

DWWLLD0–0 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	8	+7	17
2	Diksmuide	8	+4	16
3	Mechelen II	8	+4	13
4	Oostkamp	8	+3	12
5	Sparta Petegem	8	+2	12
6	Voorde Appelterre	8	+2	12
7	Torhout	8	0	11
8	Ninove	8	−4	11
9	VW Hamme	8	−4	11
10	FC Lebbeke	8	+1	10
11	Londerzeel	8	0	10
12	Zulte Waregem II	8	+2	9
13	RFC Wetteren	8	−4	9
14	KRC Gent	8	−3	8
15	HO Kalken	8	−5	7
16	Oudenaarde	8	−5	6