KRC Gent v Oudenaarde prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 22:01

KRC Gent 1–0 Oudenaarde KRC GENT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said KRC Gent win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.514

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KRC Gent are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: KRC Gent 42%, draw 22%, Oudenaarde 36%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on KRC Gent v OudenaardeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

KRC Gent win42%

Draw22%

Oudenaarde win36%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

KRC Gent

Oudenaarde

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Oudenaarde	7	−4	6
15	KRC Gent	7	−4	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · krc gent winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make KRC Gent a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · KRC Gent v Oudenaarde~~1.91 – 1.76

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 5 v 6~~15 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
KRC Gent win	42%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Oudenaarde win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	70%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
KRC Gent or draw	64%	–	–
KRC Gent clean sheet	18%	–	–
Oudenaarde clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.0 4.3 4.0 2.3 1 4.7 8.8 7.4 4.3 2 4.7 8.0 7.0 4.1 3 3.0 5.1 4.4 2.6 4 2.5 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+KRC Gent down, Oudenaarde across0–5 goals a side shown (97.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,386 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.70 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

KRC Gent at home: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Oudenaarde away: 1.67 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for KRC Gent, 1.76 for Oudenaarde. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.70

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~8 of 10

~~Last meetings~~OUD 3–2 KRC · KRC 1–5 OUD · OUD 1–1 KRC · KRC 1–3 OUD

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept

KRC GENT

DDLLWL3–3 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 4–7 · 5–1 · 1–4

OUDENAARDE

LDLLDD0–2 · 3–3 · 2–4 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	7	+7	16
2	Diksmuide	7	+5	16
3	Oostkamp	7	+3	11
4	Torhout	7	+2	11
5	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11
6	VW Hamme	7	−3	11
7	Mechelen II	7	+2	10
8	Ninove	7	−4	10
9	Zulte Waregem II	7	+4	9
10	Sparta Petegem	7	+1	9
11	RFC Wetteren	7	−3	9
12	FC Lebbeke	7	0	7
13	Londerzeel	7	−1	7
14	Oudenaarde	7	−4	6
15	KRC Gent	7	−4	5
16	HO Kalken	7	−7	4