HO Kalken v Torhout prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

HO Kalken 3–1 Torhout TORHOUT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Torhout win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.645

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Torhout are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: HO Kalken 35%, draw 23%, Torhout 42%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on HO Kalken v TorhoutBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

HO Kalken win35%

Draw23%

Torhout win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

HO Kalken

Torhout

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Torhout	7	+2	11
16	HO Kalken	7	−7	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · torhout winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Torhout a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · HO Kalken v Torhout~~1.63 – 1.79

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 4 v 11~~16 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
HO Kalken win	35%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Torhout win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
HO Kalken or draw	58%	–	–
HO Kalken clean sheet	17%	–	–
Torhout clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%

0123450 3.7 5.7 5.3 3.1 1 5.2 9.7 8.4 5.0 2.3 2 4.4 7.7 6.7 4.0 3 2.4 4.2 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+HO Kalken down, Torhout across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,389 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.9% of games this season, across 59 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

HO Kalken at home: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Torhout away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for HO Kalken, 1.79 for Torhout. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HOK 1–4 TOR · TOR 2–1 HOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept

HO KALKEN

LDLLLW0–1 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1

TORHOUT

DDLWLW1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	7	+7	16
2	Diksmuide	7	+5	16
3	Mechelen II	8	+4	13
4	Oostkamp	7	+3	11
5	Torhout	7	+2	11
6	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11
7	VW Hamme	7	−3	11
8	FC Lebbeke	8	+1	10
9	Ninove	7	−4	10
10	Zulte Waregem II	8	+2	9
11	Sparta Petegem	7	+1	9
12	RFC Wetteren	8	−4	9
13	KRC Gent	8	−3	8
14	Londerzeel	7	−1	7
15	Oudenaarde	8	−5	6
16	HO Kalken	7	−7	4