FC Lebbeke v RFC Wetteren prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 22:01

FC Lebbeke 3–2 RFC Wetteren FC LEBBEKE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Lebbeke win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.430

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Lebbeke are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Lebbeke 47%, draw 23%, RFC Wetteren 30%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on FC Lebbeke v RFC WetterenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Lebbeke win47%

Draw23%

RFC Wetteren win30%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:00

RoundVFV A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Lebbeke

RFC Wetteren

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

Last match: 11 Oct · Second Amateur Division - VFV A

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	RFC Wetteren	7	−3	9
12	FC Lebbeke	7	0	7

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc lebbeke winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make FC Lebbeke a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Lebbeke v RFC Wetteren~~1.86 – 1.46

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 9~~12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Lebbeke win	47%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
RFC Wetteren win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
FC Lebbeke or draw	70%	–	–
FC Lebbeke clean sheet	24%	–	–
RFC Wetteren clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.1 5.1 3.9 1 6.5 10.1 7.1 3.5 2 6.3 8.9 6.5 3.2 3 3.9 5.5 4.0 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Lebbeke down, RFC Wetteren across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,386 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Lebbeke at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). RFC Wetteren away: 1.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for FC Lebbeke, 1.46 for RFC Wetteren. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RFC 3–0 FCL · FCL 2–1 RFC · FCL 2–2 RFC · FCL 1–0 RFC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A this season · since 5 Sept

FC LEBBEKE

LLDWWL1–4 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 5–0 · 2–3

RFC WETTEREN

WLWDLD2–0 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	7	+7	16
2	Diksmuide	7	+5	16
3	Oostkamp	7	+3	11
4	Torhout	7	+2	11
5	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11
6	VW Hamme	7	−3	11
7	Mechelen II	7	+2	10
8	Ninove	7	−4	10
9	Zulte Waregem II	7	+4	9
10	Sparta Petegem	7	+1	9
11	RFC Wetteren	7	−3	9
12	FC Lebbeke	7	0	7
13	Londerzeel	7	−1	7
14	Oudenaarde	7	−4	6
15	KRC Gent	7	−4	5
16	HO Kalken	7	−7	4