Eendracht Aalst v HO Kalken prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

Eendracht Aalst 1–2 HO Kalken EENDRACHT AALST WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Eendracht Aalst win~~67%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.223

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Eendracht Aalst win67%

Draw18%

HO Kalken win14%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Eendracht Aalst

HO Kalken

8Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	6	+8	16
16	HO Kalken	6	−8	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · eendracht aalst winPublished 11 Oct 16:05

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Eendracht Aalst a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Eendracht Aalst win	67%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
HO Kalken win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Eendracht Aalst or draw	86%	–	–
Eendracht Aalst clean sheet	38%	–	–
HO Kalken clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.7%

0123450 4.0 3.4 1 8.2 8.4 4.0 2 9.7 9.3 4.6 3 7.6 7.3 3.6 4 4.6 4.4 2.1 5 2.3 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Eendracht Aalst down, HO Kalken across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,384 Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - VFV A matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Eendracht Aalst at home: 3.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). HO Kalken away: 0.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.37 goals for Eendracht Aalst, 0.98 for HO Kalken. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - VFV A

EENDRACHT AALST

WWWDWW3–0 · 2–0 · 3–2 · 1–1 · 4–3 · 1–0

HO KALKEN

LLDLLL2–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 1–3 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Eendracht Aalst	6	+8	16
2	Diksmuide	7	+5	16
3	Oostkamp	7	+3	11
4	Torhout	7	+2	11
5	Voorde Appelterre	7	+2	11
6	VW Hamme	7	−3	11
7	Mechelen II	7	+2	10
8	Ninove	7	−4	10
9	Zulte Waregem II	7	+4	9
10	Sparta Petegem	6	+1	8
11	RFC Wetteren	6	−3	8
12	FC Lebbeke	7	0	7
13	Londerzeel	7	−1	7
14	Oudenaarde	7	−4	6
15	KRC Gent	7	−4	5
16	HO Kalken	6	−8	1