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Stade Verviers v SG-Tertre-Hautrage

Stade Verviers

2–4Full time

SG-Tertre-Hautrage

Second Amateur Division - ACFF · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:31

Stade Verviers 2–4 SG-Tertre-Hautrage STADE VERVIERS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stade Verviers win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.845

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Stade Verviers win48%

Draw26%

SG-Tertre-Hautrage win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 18:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade verviers winPublished 10 Oct 21:03

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Stade Verviers a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stade Verviers win	48%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
SG-Tertre-Hautrage win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Stade Verviers or draw	74%	–	–
Stade Verviers clean sheet	35%	–	–
SG-Tertre-Hautrage clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 8.2 7.2 4.2 1 10.6 12.4 6.3 2.3 2 8.6 9.0 4.8 3 4.5 4.7 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stade Verviers down, SG-Tertre-Hautrage across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,526 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.9% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Stade Verviers at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). SG-Tertre-Hautrage away: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Stade Verviers, 1.08 for SG-Tertre-Hautrage. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF

STADE VERVIERS

WLWDDL3–1 · 0–1 · 5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–4

SG-TERTRE-HAUTRAGE

WWDLLW1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Crossing Schaerbeek	7	+8	16
2	Jette	7	+8	15
3	Ganshoren	7	+8	13
4	Braine	7	+4	13
5	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	7	+2	13
6	AS Eupen II	7	+3	12
7	Stade Verviers	7	+6	11
8	Stade Mouscronnois	7	+3	11
9	RUS Binche	7	−2	11
10	Richelle United	7	+2	10
11	La Calamine	7	+2	10
12	Ostiches	7	−1	9
13	Stockay-Warfusée	7	−3	8
14	Huy	7	−5	8
15	Acren-Lessines	7	0	7
16	Union Namur	7	−13	4
17	Entité Manageoise	7	−9	2
18	Aywaille	7	−13	1