Stade Verviers v RUS Binche prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15

Stade Verviers 2–2 RUS Binche STADE VERVIERS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stade Verviers win~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.884

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stade Verviers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stade Verviers 52%, draw 25%, RUS Binche 24%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Stade Verviers v RUS BincheBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Stade Verviers win52%

Draw25%

RUS Binche win24%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stade Verviers

RUS Binche

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade verviers winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Stade Verviers a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stade Verviers v RUS Binche~~1.73 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 12~~12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Stade Verviers win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stade Verviers win	52%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
RUS Binche win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Stade Verviers or draw	76%	–	–
Stade Verviers clean sheet	34%	–	–
RUS Binche clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.0 6.1 3.6 1 9.9 11.7 6.0 2.2 2 8.9 9.3 5.0 3 5.1 5.4 2.9 4 2.3 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stade Verviers down, RUS Binche across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,544 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Stade Verviers at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). RUS Binche away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.73 goals for Stade Verviers, 1.08 for RUS Binche. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~RUS 0–3 STA · STA 0–1 RUS · STA 1–2 RUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept

STADE VERVIERS

WDDLLL5–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 2–4 · 2–4

RUS BINCHE

LDWWDL1–4 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1