Stade Mouscronnois v Stade Verviers prediction · Second Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Stade MouscronnoisDrawStade Verviers

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Stade Mouscronnois 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Stade Mouscronnois are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Stade Mouscronnois 42%, draw 23%, Stade Verviers 36%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Stade Mouscronnois v Stade VerviersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Stade Mouscronnois win42%

Draw23%

Stade Verviers win36%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Stade Mouscronnois

Stade Verviers

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Stade Mouscronnois	10	+4	17
13	Stade Verviers	10	+2	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade mouscronnois winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Stade Mouscronnois a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Stade Mouscronnois v Stade Verviers~~1.85 – 1.70

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 19 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 17 v 12~~4 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Stade Mouscronnois win	42%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Stade Verviers win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
Stade Mouscronnois or draw	64%	–	–
Stade Mouscronnois clean sheet	19%	–	–
Stade Verviers clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.6 4.6 4.2 2.4 1 5.0 9.4 7.5 4.2 2 5.0 8.1 6.7 3.8 3 3.1 5.0 4.2 2.4 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Stade Mouscronnois down, Stade Verviers across0–5 goals a side shown (97.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,549 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.5% of games this season, across 86 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Stade Mouscronnois at home: 3.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 5). Stade Verviers away: 1.67 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Stade Mouscronnois, 1.70 for Stade Verviers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 19 Sept

STADE MOUSCRONNOIS

LWWWWL3–4 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 6–2 · 1–6

STADE VERVIERS

DDLLLD1–1 · 1–1 · 3–4 · 2–4 · 2–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	10	+11	22
2	Crossing Schaerbeek	10	+11	20
3	Jette	9	+9	19
4	Stade Mouscronnois	10	+4	17
5	Huy	10	+3	17
6	Braine	10	+1	17
7	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
8	Richelle United	10	−1	14
9	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	La Calamine	10	+1	13
12	RUS Binche	10	−3	13
13	Stade Verviers	10	+2	12
14	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	10	−21	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1