RUS Binche v Huy prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

RUS Binche 1–2 Huy RUS BINCHE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said RUS Binche win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.625

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with RUS Binche just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: RUS Binche 38%, draw 27%, Huy 36%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on RUS Binche v HuyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

RUS Binche win38%

Draw27%

Huy win36%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

RUS Binche

Huy

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	RUS Binche	8	−2	12
13	Huy	8	−3	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rus binche winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make RUS Binche a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · RUS Binche v Huy~~1.41 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~9 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
RUS Binche win	38%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Huy win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
RUS Binche or draw	64%	–	–
RUS Binche clean sheet	26%	–	–
Huy clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.2 8.0 5.8 2.7 1 8.2 12.4 7.9 3.7 2 6.2 8.2 5.5 2.6 3 3.0 3.9 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+RUS Binche down, Huy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,538 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.0% of games this season, across 75 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

RUS Binche at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Huy away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.41 goals for RUS Binche, 1.37 for Huy. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HUY 3–2 RUS · RUS 0–0 HUY

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 5 Sept

RUS BINCHE

DLDWWD4–4 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

HUY

WLDDLW1–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	8	+9	18
2	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
3	Crossing Schaerbeek	8	+8	17
4	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	8	+4	16
5	Braine	8	+4	14
6	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
7	La Calamine	9	+2	13
8	AS Eupen II	8	+1	12
9	RUS Binche	8	−2	12
10	Stade Verviers	8	+4	11
11	Ostiches	9	−1	11
12	Richelle United	9	−2	11
13	Huy	8	−3	11
14	Acren-Lessines	8	+2	10
15	Stockay-Warfusée	8	−3	9
16	Entité Manageoise	8	−8	5
17	Union Namur	9	−14	5
18	Aywaille	8	−15	1