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Richelle United v RUS Binche

Richelle United

1–1Full time

RUS Binche

Second Amateur Division - ACFF · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 21:31

Richelle United 1–1 RUS Binche RICHELLE UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Richelle United win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.869

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Richelle United win48%

Draw25%

RUS Binche win27%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · richelle united winPublished 10 Oct 21:03

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Richelle United a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Richelle United win	48%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
RUS Binche win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Richelle United or draw	73%	–	–
Richelle United clean sheet	31%	–	–
RUS Binche clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.4 6.2 4.1 1 8.8 11.6 6.6 2.7 2 7.9 9.2 5.5 2.2 3 4.5 5.2 3.1 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Richelle United down, RUS Binche across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,526 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.9% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Richelle United at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). RUS Binche away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Richelle United, 1.20 for RUS Binche. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RUS 0–0 RIC · RIC 2–2 RUS

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF

RICHELLE UNITED

WLWLWD2–0 · 2–3 · 4–1 · 1–5 · 4–0 · 0–0

RUS BINCHE

WDLDWW2–1 · 4–4 · 1–4 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Crossing Schaerbeek	7	+8	16
2	Jette	7	+8	15
3	Ganshoren	7	+8	13
4	Braine	7	+4	13
5	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	7	+2	13
6	AS Eupen II	7	+3	12
7	Stade Verviers	7	+6	11
8	Stade Mouscronnois	7	+3	11
9	RUS Binche	7	−2	11
10	Richelle United	7	+2	10
11	La Calamine	7	+2	10
12	Ostiches	7	−1	9
13	Stockay-Warfusée	7	−3	8
14	Huy	7	−5	8
15	Acren-Lessines	7	0	7
16	Union Namur	7	−13	4
17	Entité Manageoise	7	−9	2
18	Aywaille	7	−13	1