Richelle United v La Calamine prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 22:08

Richelle United 3–2 La Calamine RICHELLE UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Richelle United win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.539

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Richelle United are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Richelle United 40%, draw 27%, La Calamine 33%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Richelle United v La CalamineBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Richelle United win40%

Draw27%

La Calamine win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Richelle United

La Calamine

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · richelle united winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Richelle United a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Richelle United v La Calamine~~1.45 – 1.30

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 11 v 13~~14 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Richelle United win	40%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
La Calamine win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Richelle United or draw	67%	–	–
Richelle United clean sheet	28%	–	–
La Calamine clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%

0123450 7.4 7.8 5.4 2.4 1 8.7 12.4 7.6 3.3 2 6.7 8.5 5.5 2.4 3 3.3 4.2 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Richelle United down, La Calamine across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,544 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Richelle United at home: 2.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). La Calamine away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.45 goals for Richelle United, 1.30 for La Calamine. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~RIC 0–0 LAC · LAC 1–0 RIC · LAC 4–2 RIC · RIC 1–0 LAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept

RICHELLE UNITED

WLWDDL4–1 · 1–5 · 4–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 2–6

LA CALAMINE

WWLWLW4–1 · 4–3 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1