Jette v Ostiches prediction · Second Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JetteDrawOstiches

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Jette 43%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jette are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Jette 43%, draw 28%, Ostiches 29%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Jette v OstichesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Jette win43%

Draw28%

Ostiches win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Jette

Ostiches

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jette winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 20 Oct 03:47 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Jette a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Jette v Ostiches~~1.38 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 19 v 13~~1 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Jette win

Published at 44%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jette win	43%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Ostiches win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Jette or draw	71%	–	–
Jette clean sheet	34%	–	–
Ostiches clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 9.4 8.6 5.1 1 10.9 13.1 6.8 2.6 2 7.9 8.5 4.7 3 3.7 4.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jette down, Ostiches across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jette at home: 1.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Ostiches away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Jette, 1.10 for Ostiches. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~OST 3–0 JET · JET 1–3 OST · OST 0–0 JET · JET 2–1 OST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept

JETTE

WDWDWD3–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

OSTICHES

LDDLDW1–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1