Huy v Stade Mouscronnois prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 21:15

Huy 6–1 Stade Mouscronnois STADE MOUSCRONNOIS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Stade Mouscronnois win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.620

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Stade Mouscronnois just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Huy 36%, draw 23%, Stade Mouscronnois 40%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Huy v Stade MouscronnoisBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Huy win36%

Draw23%

Stade Mouscronnois win40%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Huy

Stade Mouscronnois

6Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
7	Huy	9	−2	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · stade mouscronnois winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Stade Mouscronnois a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Huy v Stade Mouscronnois~~1.66 – 1.75

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 17~~7 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Stade Mouscronnois win

Published at 41%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Huy win	36%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Stade Mouscronnois win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Huy or draw	60%	–	–
Huy clean sheet	18%	–	–
Stade Mouscronnois clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.1 5.5 5.1 3.0 1 5.2 10.0 8.1 4.8 2.1 2 4.6 7.7 6.6 3.9 3 2.6 4.3 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Huy down, Stade Mouscronnois across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,544 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Huy at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Stade Mouscronnois away: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.66 goals for Huy, 1.75 for Stade Mouscronnois. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept

HUY

LDDLWW1–3 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 2–1

STADE MOUSCRONNOIS

WLWWWW2–1 · 3–4 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 6–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1