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Model 1.1

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Ganshoren v Stade Mouscronnois

Ganshoren
0–2Full time
Stade Mouscronnois

Second Amateur Division - ACFF · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56
Ganshoren 0–2 Stade Mouscronnois GANSHOREN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ganshoren win59%
The market said59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.996
The market’s Brier score1.038

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

GanshorenDrawStade Mouscronnois
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Ganshoren 0–2 Stade Mouscronnois

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ganshoren

Stade Mouscronnois

7Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Ganshoren7+813
9Stade Mouscronnois7+311

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Ganshoren win59%
Draw20%
Stade Mouscronnois win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ganshoren winPublished 11 Oct 16:29
59% The market59%
Us59%
Market59%

We make Ganshoren a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 2.4–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:1711 OCT 11:47
Our probability · ganshoren win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ganshoren win59%59%0
Draw20%21%−2
Stade Mouscronnois win22%20%+2
Over 2.5 goals72%66%+6
Both teams to score68%63%+5
Over 1.5 goals89%80%+9
Over 3.5 goals52%46%+7
Ganshoren or draw78%80%−2
Ganshoren clean sheet25%––
Stade Mouscronnois clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.6%
0123450 2.9 2.9 2.4 1 5.1 8.0 5.2 2.5 2 6.4 8.6 6.0 2.8 3 5.0 6.8 4.7 2.2 4 3.1 4.1 2.9 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Ganshoren down, Stade Mouscronnois across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF

GANSHOREN

LDWWWL1–4 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 2–1 · 5–1 · 1–2

STADE MOUSCRONNOIS

DDWLWW1–1 · 4–4 · 2–1 · 3–4 · 4–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Crossing Schaerbeek7+816
2SG-Tertre-Hautrage8+416
3Jette7+815
4Braine8+414
5Ganshoren7+813
6AS Eupen II8+112
7RUS Binche8−212
8Stade Verviers8+411
9Stade Mouscronnois7+311
10Richelle United8+211
11Huy8−311
12La Calamine7+210
13Ostiches8−110
14Stockay-Warfusée7−38
15Acren-Lessines707
16Union Namur7−134
17Entité Manageoise7−92
18Aywaille7−131

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 15:24 UTC.