Ganshoren v Aywaille prediction · Second Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GanshorenDrawAywaille

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Ganshoren 68%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ganshoren are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ganshoren 68%, draw 18%, Aywaille 14%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Ganshoren v AywailleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Ganshoren win68%

Draw18%

Aywaille win14%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ganshoren

Aywaille

8Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ganshoren winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

68% The market–

Us68%

We make Ganshoren a 68% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ganshoren v Aywaille~~2.43 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 13 v 1~~8 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ganshoren win	68%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Aywaille win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Ganshoren or draw	86%	–	–
Ganshoren clean sheet	39%	–	–
Aywaille clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.7%

0123450 4.2 3.1 1 7.9 8.4 3.9 2 9.7 9.1 4.4 3 7.7 7.2 3.5 4 4.8 4.4 2.1 5 2.5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Ganshoren down, Aywaille across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ganshoren at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Aywaille away: 0.33 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.43 goals for Ganshoren, 0.96 for Aywaille. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~GAN 1–0 AYW · AYW 0–2 GAN · GAN 4–1 AYW · AYW 4–0 GAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 13 Sept

GANSHOREN

WWWLLL4–0 · 2–1 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 0–1

AYWAILLE

LDLLLL1–4 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1