Entité Manageoise v Acren-Lessines prediction · Second Amateur Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Entité ManageoiseDrawAcren-Lessines

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Acren-Lessines 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Acren-Lessines are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Entité Manageoise 35%, draw 21%, Acren-Lessines 44%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 75%.

The AI’s read on Entité Manageoise v Acren-LessinesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Entité Manageoise win35%

Draw21%

Acren-Lessines win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Entité Manageoise

Acren-Lessines

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · acren-lessines winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Acren-Lessines a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–2.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Entité Manageoise v Acren-Lessines~~1.91 – 2.18

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 8 v 11~~16 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Entité Manageoise win	35%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Acren-Lessines win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	76%	–	–
Both teams to score	75%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
Entité Manageoise or draw	56%	–	–
Entité Manageoise clean sheet	12%	–	–
Acren-Lessines clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.3 3.5 4.0 2.9 1 3.0 7.4 7.4 5.3 2.9 2 3.2 6.6 6.9 4.9 2.7 3 2.0 4.2 4.4 3.1 4 2.0 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Entité Manageoise down, Acren-Lessines across0–5 goals a side shown (95.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,548 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 85 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Entité Manageoise at home: 1.17 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Acren-Lessines away: 1.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.91 goals for Entité Manageoise, 2.18 for Acren-Lessines. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ACR 1–4 ENT · ENT 2–3 ACR · ACR 2–3 ENT · ENT 1–2 ACR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 12 Sept

ENTITÉ MANAGEOISE

DLLLWW1–1 · 3–4 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 2–0

ACREN-LESSINES

LLWWWD1–2 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1