Braine v SG-Tertre-Hautrage prediction · Second Amateur Division

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 00:34

Braine 2–6 SG-Tertre-Hautrage BRAINE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Braine win~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.730

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Braine are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Braine 43%, draw 25%, SG-Tertre-Hautrage 31%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Braine v SG-Tertre-HautrageBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Braine win43%

Draw25%

SG-Tertre-Hautrage win31%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00

RoundACFF · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Braine

SG-Tertre-Hautrage

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Second Amateur Division - ACFF

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
5	Braine	9	+5	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · braine winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:12 · locked at kick-off

43% The market–

Us43%

We make Braine a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Braine v SG-Tertre-Hautrage~~1.60 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 13 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 19~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Braine win

Published at 45%, 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Braine win	43%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
SG-Tertre-Hautrage win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Braine or draw	69%	–	–
Braine clean sheet	28%	–	–
SG-Tertre-Hautrage clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.4 6.7 4.7 2.1 1 8.2 11.8 7.3 3.2 2 6.9 8.8 5.7 2.5 3 3.7 4.7 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Braine down, SG-Tertre-Hautrage across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,544 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.0% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Braine at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). SG-Tertre-Hautrage away: 1.50 scored, 1.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.60 goals for Braine, 1.31 for SG-Tertre-Hautrage. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BRA 3–0 SGT · SGT 3–3 BRA · SGT 1–3 BRA · BRA 2–2 SGT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF this season · since 13 Sept

BRAINE

WWLDDW2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–2

SG-TERTRE-HAUTRAGE

DLLWWW1–1 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 4–1 · 4–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Jette	9	+9	19
2	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	9	+7	19
3	Stade Mouscronnois	9	+9	17
4	Crossing Schaerbeek	9	+7	17
5	Braine	9	+5	17
6	AS Eupen II	9	+3	15
7	Huy	9	−2	14
8	Ganshoren	9	+5	13
9	La Calamine	9	+2	13
10	Ostiches	9	+2	13
11	RUS Binche	9	−3	12
12	Stade Verviers	9	+2	11
13	Acren-Lessines	9	+2	11
14	Richelle United	9	−2	11
15	Stockay-Warfusée	9	−6	9
16	Entité Manageoise	9	−6	8
17	Union Namur	9	−17	4
18	Aywaille	9	−17	1