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Braine v Ostiches

Braine

0–0Full time

Ostiches

Second Amateur Division - ACFF · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 22:52

Braine 0–0 Ostiches BRAINE WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Braine win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.816

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Braine win47%

Draw27%

Ostiches win26%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 19:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · braine winPublished 10 Oct 22:32

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Braine a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Braine win	47%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Ostiches win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Braine or draw	74%	–	–
Braine clean sheet	35%	–	–
Ostiches clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 8.9 7.7 4.4 1 11.1 12.7 6.3 2.3 2 8.7 8.9 4.7 3 4.4 4.5 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Braine down, Ostiches across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,526 Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Second Amateur Division - ACFF matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.9% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Braine at home: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Ostiches away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.49 goals for Braine, 1.05 for Ostiches. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~BRA 0–3 OST · OST 1–1 BRA

Form · last six in Second Amateur Division - ACFF

BRAINE

LWWWLD1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 0–0

OSTICHES

WDLDDL3–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Crossing Schaerbeek	7	+8	16
2	Jette	7	+8	15
3	Ganshoren	7	+8	13
4	Braine	7	+4	13
5	SG-Tertre-Hautrage	7	+2	13
6	AS Eupen II	7	+3	12
7	Stade Verviers	7	+6	11
8	Stade Mouscronnois	7	+3	11
9	RUS Binche	7	−2	11
10	Richelle United	7	+2	10
11	La Calamine	7	+2	10
12	Ostiches	7	−1	9
13	Stockay-Warfusée	7	−3	8
14	Huy	7	−5	8
15	Acren-Lessines	7	0	7
16	Union Namur	7	−13	4
17	Entité Manageoise	7	−9	2
18	Aywaille	7	−13	1